Brown

If ever you needed evidence the smoking ban has failed to curb smoking in public places it was shown yesterday. For in the Commons there was more smoke and mirrors than have been in evidence since the last time the Government tried to pull the wool over people's eyes.

The Chancellor and PM would have us believe they have slashed inheritence tax for the hard working people who to use one of Gordon Brown's favourite words, have been prudent throughout their life. Well as pointed out by Dizzy, not all is as it seems.

The capital gains tax change at first light appears welcome - but then having set up my own small business I can rest assured that I will get a good kicking elsewhere.

Indeed as the Spectator's Fraser Nelson points out, this report means yet again taxes are up!

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I've been watching the PM's press conference and amongst all the questions that have been asked I near choked on my team when I heard this one. Effectively a journalist (Simon Carr I think) asked him if the polls had actually showed a healthy Labour lead and would have given him a 100 seat majority would he have called the election.

Brown said no, and that he would still want to serve longer to deliver his vision!

Yes Prime Minister - of course you would!

If you thought you could win you would have gone to the polls.

And if you really believe that no matter what the polls showed, you would not have called the election, then isn't that just as bad, as surely that just shows election fever was allowed to mount for the sole reason of playing politics in the hope that it would disrupt the Tory Conference.

Tut tut!

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I said it would be the polling in the marginal seats that would determine whether an early election would be held, and that has turned out to be the case.

Apparently the poll idicated a hung Parliament, not good news for the Prime Minister, which is why he marched his troops back down from teh hill he had taken them to the top of, only days before.

Where does that leave Brown? Well today's news becomes tomorrows chip wrappers - and he will be hoping that by playing the long game his indecision will be long forgotten. I still believe that a snap election may well have been the best bet for the Government. Time will tell, but there are so many things on the horizon that I think are going the bite the Government on the backside.

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In a week dominated by more foot and mouth and an unprecedented outbreak of Bluetongue on Britain’s farms, Gordon Brown fired the first shot in the warm-up to the General Election. It was his personal blueprint, setting out his values and his moral compass. A blueprint for a Prime Minister who appeared to have caught Bluetongue. Set against a deep blue screen, the Prime Minister came out of the closet and revealed himself to be a Tory to his bones. Gordon was trying to convince Middle England, straight-faced, that front is back, left is right, and red is blue. Perhaps some of them were persuaded by vacant statements like “Aspiration for the many and not the few” that they had been born yesterday. Surely most of them were left wondering, “Where’s the beef?”

Election fever seems to be the new political Superbug. Gordon Brown has been helping to spread it by getting his hands as mucky as possible in recent weeks, pinching Quentin Davies, Conservative ideas, and cadging considerable ground. But yesterday, he was scrubbing them furiously. Not of election fever, but of the last decade. Desperate to cleanse himself of the germs festering from the Blair years. Wringing his hands of the Northern Rock crisis, pledging to toughen his own failed laws on cannabis, binge drinking and gambling. Barely a flicker on the EU Constitution. Hardly a single mention of Iraq. “Don’t blame me!” he was shouting, “I wasn’t there!” But he was, of course.

It was awfully depressing. It was the first time that, as a voter, you might credibly feel that choice had finally diminished, that red had merged with blue to become the colour of Gordon’s chosen tie. He spoke of “British jobs for British people”, limits on immigration, “British values”, tough prison sentences for knife possession. “You’re safe with Gordon!” he was telling the Daily Mail readers. If you closed your eyes, you could almost forget who you were listening to. Surely that is the strategy – to confuse the British people. To covince them that you’re not the Gordon Brown of Big Government and stealth tax. That you’re not the Chancellor who spent all their money and plundered their pension funds. The one who held the purse strings and plotted his way to Downing Street during 10 years of wasted opportunity. No, this is a different Gordon entirely. It’s the new and very British Gordon Brown, with aspiration, opportunity and social responsibility seeping out of every pore.

What the new, improved, Gordon Brown has done as Prime Minister so far is to mirror the way Chelsea played football under Jose Mourinho, going 1-0 ahead and then stifling the opposition by playing dull defensive football, squeezing the life out of the game. The polls suggest the electorate appreciate this contrast with Tony Blair’s presidential, informal style. But yesterday he went further – by cloaking himself in blue, the speech was the political equivalent of scoring the first goal, bursting the ball, and chucking it into a lake. The Prime Minister appeared to be saying “There is no choice”. That is what he represents. So far he is getting away with it. Those who worry about rising disenchantment with politics and permanent cynicism about politicians could do worse than to start with yesterday’s speech. David Cameron’s challenge next week is no longer to show that Brown represents no change – that plainly has not worked. His challenge is rather, to demonstrate that the Conservative leader himself offers a real choice, one that is attractive, stark, and unmistakable.

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