opinion polls

The party has its biggest poll lead since Thatcher was in Downing street in 1988. I along with other bloggers take polls with a pinch of salt, but it certainly must make grim reading for the Prime Minister. A 13% lead gives the party a 64 seat majority in the Commons.

Gordon Brown really must be wishing he had called that snap election during the Conference season.

It makes you wonder what subject he will be asked at his next press conference. Missing data? Northern Rock? Party Donations? Take your pick!

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It seems as though some opinion polls issued tonight are showing the Tories regaining some of the ground that Labour gained during and after their party Conference. The 11 point lead (which to me always looked really unlikely) has now apparently shrunk to only a 3 or 4 point Labour lead.

Is that enough for Gordon Brown to go to the polls? I still think he might. What is more important is what is being revealed in the prviate polling that will be being conducted in the marginal seats.

If Brown thinks he can retain his marginals I think he will go for it.

Some people will say the polls are great news for the party - but we really shouldn't be happy with being behind in the polls. However it is the Lib Dems who should really be asking questions, not only of their current strategy, but questions of leadership. Ming Campbell says he will take the Lib Dems into an election and beyond. He may take them into an election - but even then, the only way I can see that happening is if it is called in the next few days. If Brown plays the long game Nick Clegg surely must be now contemplating a leadership challenge.

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